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70岁以上老年肺癌患者预后多因素分析

芮  萌,方庭正,段蕴铀,张新红   

  1. 海军总医院干部病房呼吸科,北京  100048
  • 收稿日期:2014-03-26 修回日期:2014-06-08 出版日期:2014-07-30 发布日期:2014-07-30
  • 作者简介:芮 萌(1969- ),女,安徽省人,博士,副主任医师,研究方向:肺癌、肺损伤基础与临床研究。E-mail:rmxc1102@ sohu.com

Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors in geriatric lung cancer patients aged 70 and over

RUI Meng,FANG Ting-zheng,DUN Yun-you,ZHANG Xin-hong   

  1. Respiratory Department of Cadre Wards,  Naval General Hospital, Beijing 100048, China
  • Received:2014-03-26 Revised:2014-06-08 Online:2014-07-30 Published:2014-07-30

摘要:

目的: 探讨影响70岁以上老年肺癌患者预后生存的危险因素。方法:随访分析62例70岁以上肺癌患者临床资料,计算改良老年疾病累计评分表(MCIRS-G)评分,得到总分(TSC)、严重指数(SV)和合并症指数(CM)。应用单因素分析及COX多因素回归模型分析确定影响预后的因素。结果:62例患者中位生存期为30.52个月,82.26%伴有合并症,TSC、CM、SV与年龄增长正相关(r依次为0.656、0.739、0.677,P均<0.05)。单因素分析显示年龄、病理类型、临床分期、美国东部肿瘤协作组(ECOG)评分、分化程度、手术、TSC、CM、SV与预后相关(P均<0.05)。COX多因素分析显示临床分期、ECOG评分、分化程度、手术、TSC、CM、SV是影响患者生存及预后的独立因素。结论:临床分期、分化程度、合并症、ECOG评分、手术是老年肺癌独立预后因子。MCIRS-G能有效评估合并症对老年肺癌患者预后的影响。

关键词: 老年, 肺癌, 改良老年疾病累计评分表, 预后

Abstract:

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed at evaluating the survival of patients older than 70 with lung cancer and explore the independent prognostic factors in this group of patients. METHODS:The modified cumulative illness rating scale-geriatric(MCIRS-G) was scored for a cohort of elderly patients with lung cancer. Total score (TSC),severity index(SV) and comorbidity index(CM) were obtained. Clinical features were also used. All patients underwent a follow-up for mortality. Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were used to identify factors associated with prognosis in the enrolled patients. RESULTS:The overall median survival was 30.52 months and the incidence of complications was 82.26%. TSC,SV and CM were positively correlated with age(r were 0.656,0.739 and 0.677,respectively,P<0.05). By univariate analysis,age,pathological type,clinical stages,American Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group(ECOG) performance status (PS),differentiation degree,surgery,TSC,SV and CM were significantly related to prognosis and survival in geriatric lung cancer patients(P<0.05). By multivariable analysis,clinical stages,ECOG PS,differentiation degree,surgery,TSC,SV and CM were independent prognostic factors. CONCLUSION:Clinical stages,differentiation degree,comorbidity,ECOG PS and surgery may be independent prognostic factors in the elderly with lung cancer. The MCIRS-G could effectively assess the influence of comorbidities on the prognosis of lung cancer in this patient group.

Key words: elderly, lung cancer, MCIRS-G, prognosis